As the final leg of the league stage approaches, the possibilities of making the IPL 2025 playoffs are increasing. Only two clubs are officially out of contention with a few games remaining: the Rajasthan Royals and the Chennai Super Kings. Eight teams are now vying for the final four berths in what should be one of the most exciting IPL finales ever.
The current IPL 2025 playoff scenarios, team-by-team routes to qualifying, and the stakes in the competition for the top two spots will all be covered in this in-depth analysis.
SRH vs. DC, the most recent IPL 2025 result (May 5, 2025)
Even though SRH is in a strong position, the forced cancellation of this match means they will only receive one point and will be eliminated from the IPL 2025. Despite playing poorly, scoring only 133/7 in 20 overs before rain took over, the Delhi Capitals managed to secure a vital point.
What is the deadline for qualifying? How many IPL 2025 matches must be won to go to the playoffs?
- Given that the fourth-place team (PBKS) has 13 points with four games remaining, the current qualification target is 17 points.
- Mathematically, two teams are already out.
- There are still eight teams vying for a spot in the IPL 2025 playoffs.
- Finishing in the top two gives you an additional chance to go to the final, which makes the final fixtures more intense.
Now let’s examine each contender’s standing, number of games left, and number of wins needed to increase their chances of making the IPL 2025 playoffs. Read the full summary of possibilities to qualify for the playoffs for each team.
Teams’ Positions in the IPL 2025 Playoffs Qualifying
The current IPL 2025 points table, which was revised following SRH vs. DC on May 5, 2025, looks like this.
Here is an example of how to break down scenarios for each team depending on the remaining fixtures in a table.
IPL Playoffs Chances Percentage 2025
| Team | Current Record | Qualify Chance in Percentage (%) | Top 2 Chance (in percentage) | Wins Needed (of Remaining) |
| RCB (#1) | 8W – 3L – 0NR | 96.3% | 65.2% | 1 (to qualify), 1 (for Top 2) |
| PBKS (#2) | 7W – 3L – 1NR | 88.0% | 44.4% | 2 (to qualify), 1 (for Top 2) |
| MI (#3) | 7W – 4L – 0NR | 88.6% | 41.8% | 2 (to qualify), 3 (for Top 2) |
| GT (#4) | 7W – 3L – 0NR | 88.1% | 42.0% | 2 (to qualify), 2 (for Top 2) |
| DC (#5) | 6W – 4L – 1NR | 25.0% | 5.2% | 2 (to qualify), 3 (for Top 2) |
| KKR (#6) | 5W – 5L – 1NR | 10.2% | 0.3% | 3 (to qualify), 3 (for Top 2) |
| LSG (#7) | 5W – 6L – 0NR | 0.7% | 0.0% | 3 (to qualify, needs help) |
| RR (#8) | 3W – 9L – 0NR | Eliminated | Eliminated | — |
| SRH (#9) | 3W – 7L – 1NR | Eliminated | Eliminated | — |
| CSK (#10) | 2W – 9L – 0NR | Eliminated | Eliminated | — |
1. Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB): 8 Wins & 3 Loss
RCB is almost done with the playoffs and has been the most reliable club thus far.
- RCB IPL 2025 playoffs chances: 96.3%
- Top 2 finish: 65.2%
- Remaining fixtures:
- vs LSG (May 9)
- vs SRH (May 13)
- vs KKR (May 17)
- What they need:
- Just 1 win to secure qualification
- 2 wins almost guarantee the top 2
- Favorable Net Run Rate boosts their position
In the IPL 2025 playoffs, RCB has seized a decisive lead and will work to rapidly secure a top-two position.
2. Mumbai Indians (MI): 7 Wins & 4 Loss
Although they are in a good position, the five-time champions are not yet secure.
- MI IPL 2025 playoffs chances: 88.6%
- Top 2 finish: 41.8%
- Remaining fixtures:
- vs GT (May 6)
- vs PBKS (May 11)
- vs DC (May 15)
- What they need:
- 2 wins to almost ensure qualification
- Must win all 3 for a good shot at Top 2
- Face direct rivals in all 3 games
MI’s route is challenging but completely under their hands because every game that remains is a 4-point matchup.
3. Gujarat Titans (GT): 7 Wins & 3 Loss
With a game in hand, GT is well-positioned to control its destiny.
- GT IPL 2025 playoffs chances: 88.1%
- Top 2 finish: 42.0%
- Remaining fixtures:
- vs MI (May 6)
- vs DC (May 11)
- vs LSG (May 14)
- vs CSK (May 18)
- What they need:
- 2 wins should secure the playoffs
- 3 wins give a strong Top 2 chance
- Can knock out rivals with direct wins
In this IPL playoffs prediction run-in, GT is still among the top-positioned teams.
4. Punjab Kings (PBKS): 7 Wins, 3 Losses, 1-NRR
After a dominating victory over LSG, Punjab Kings have solidified their place in the top two, but they still have to perform well in the final stretch.
- PBKS IPL 2025 playoffs chances: 88.0%
- Top 2 finish: 44.4%
- Remaining fixtures:
- vs DC (May 8)
- vs MI (May 11)
- vs RR (May 16)
- What they need:
- 2 wins to confirm qualification
- 1 win with a strong NRR margin could be enough for a top-two finish
- Must beat MI to gain a direct advantage in the 4-point game
Every run and over will matter from now on because of the fierce battle for the top two spots in the IPL 2025 playoffs, even if PBKS is in a strong position.
5. Delhi Capitals (DC): 6 Wins & 4 Losses
Delhi is still alive even though they are not in the top four.
- DC IPL 2025 playoffs chances: 25.0%
- Top 2 finish: 5.2%
- Remaining fixtures:
- vs SRH (May 5)
- vs PBKS (May 8)
- vs GT (May 11)
- vs MI (May 15)
- What they need:
- Must win 3 out of 4 to stay alive
- All opponents are playoff contenders
- Can leapfrog with direct wins
In this fierce IPL 2025 playoff race, defeating rivals will determine DC’s fate.
6. Lucknow Super Giants (LSG): 5 Wins & 6 Losses
After a close defeat to PBKS, LSG is now on the verge of elimination, and its hopes of making the IPL 2025 playoffs are now in jeopardy.
- LSG IPL 2025 playoffs chances: 0.7%
- Top 2 finish: 0.0%
- Remaining fixtures:
- vs RCB (May 9)
- vs GT (May 14)
- vs SRH (May 18)
- What they need:
- Win all 3 remaining matches
- Massively improve Net Run Rate (currently –0.469, needs ~+1.2)
- Require multiple other teams to lose (PBKS, MI, GT, DC, KKR)
LSG is mathematically still in the running for the IPL 2025 playoffs, but they will only qualify if they have a flawless season and several other outcomes line up.
7. Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR): 5 Wins & 5 Losses
The future of KKR is in jeopardy.
- KKR IPL 2025 playoffs chances : 10.2%
- Top 2 finish: 0.3%
- Remaining fixtures:
- vs CSK (May 7)
- vs SRH (May 10)
- vs RCB (May 17)
- What they need:
- Win all remaining matches
- Beat direct rivals (RCB, SRH)
- Massive NRR recovery required
Although they have no control over their destiny, Kolkata still has hope.
Eliminated Teams
- Rajasthan Royals: 3 Wins & 9 Losses
- Chennai Super Kings: 2 Wins & 9 Losses
- Sunrisers Hyderabad: 3 Wins & 7 Losses
Which teams are qualified for playoffs in IPL 2025?
Right now, RCB, MI, and GT appear to be in a strong position to finish in the top four. For the last berth, PBKS, DC, and LSG are engaged in fierce competition. SRH and KKR are holding onto flimsy dreams.
The IPL 2025 playoffs this season might reach the final weekend, and direct matches between competitors would heighten the tension. Now that every match is important, anticipate surprises right up until the very end.
There are now four teams with the best odds of making it to the IPL 2025 playoffs.
- RCB
- Punjab Kings
- Mumbai Indians
- Gujarat Titans
IPL Playoffs Prediction 2025
The answer to the question of who will be eligible for the IPL 2025 playoffs is still up in the air. The ultimate standings will probably be decided by the forthcoming games between MI, GT, PBKS, and DC. MI and RCB presently have the best chance of qualifying.
Teams will have a significant edge if they can place in the top two in the IPL 2025. Expect aggressive cricket in the final few games, as Net Run Rate is now a major factor.
One thing is certain, regardless of whether you’re following Scenariosthe IPL 2025 points table every day or predicting the IPL playoffs: the race is on, and anything can happen.
IPL 2025 Playoff Scenarios: Overview of Qualifications
Most teams’ scenarios of making the IPL 2025 playoffs are dwindling with just over ten days remaining in the league round. Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) currently hold a 16-point lead on the table and just need to win one more of their next three games to guarantee their spot in the tournament. Except for a catastrophic collapse, the question of whether RCB can make it to the playoffs has all but been answered.
With the Gujarat Titans, Mumbai Indians, and Punjab Kings all on 14 or more points, the battle for the final three playoff positions is fierce. In the past, the majority of clubs that qualified for the playoffs needed at least 16 points, and it appears that this season will be no exception. If you’re wondering how many games you need to win to qualify for the IPL playoffs, the current cutoff is eight wins or seventeen points.
Things were upended by the cancelled DC vs. SRH game on May 5. With three games remaining and 13 points, the Delhi Capitals’ 2025 IPL playoff odds have dropped to 25%. To stay afloat, the Lucknow Super Giants and Kolkata Knight Riders need to win every game and raise their NRR.
The final berths will probably be determined by Net Run Rate (NRR) and IPL playoff points. Teams that need to win by large margins are DC and KKR. Right now, the teams with the highest chances of finishing in the top four are RCB, PBKS, MI, and GT.
For a complete breakdown, see our IPL 2025 predictions, points table, updated team pathways, and percentage-based IPL playoffs 2025 possibilities above.
The Top 4 Forecasts Using the Present Qualification Percentages:
- RCB – 96.3%
- PBKS – 88.0%
- MI – 88.6%
- GT – 88.1%
FAQs:
Q1. Can RCB place among the top two in the 2025 IPL?
Ans: Indeed. RCB is in a strong position to place in the top two of the IPL 2025 points standings after winning two of their last three games.
Q2. How likely is it that MI will place in the top two of the 2025 IPL?
Ans: MI now has a 46.3% chance of finishing in the top two of the IPL 2025. Winning every game they have left would greatly increase that.
Q3. Will the Gujarat Titans qualify for the 2025 IPL playoffs?
Ans: Indeed, the Gujarat Titans need at least two more victories to secure their 88.8% chance of qualifying for the IPL 2025 playoffs.
Q4. Can PBKS place in the top two in the IPL 2025?
Ans: Although it is still feasible, Punjab Kings must win two of their next three games and pray for favorable outcomes in order to move into the top two.
Q5. Is it still possible for LSG to make it to the IPL 2025 playoffs?
Ans: LSG needs to win all three of its remaining games by significant margins and still hope for other favorable outcomes because they have a 0.7% probability of making it to the playoffs.
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